Traders see the tight spread across 31–36°C outcomes for Guangzhou's peak temperature today as reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models amid the city's subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity of 75–85% and expected thundery showers are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping the market-implied odds balanced rather than favoring extremes. August climatology shows typical highs near 33–34°C, but local steering patterns, urban heat effects, and variable rainfall timing can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. New observational data and model updates through the afternoon will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日廣州最高溫度？
8月17日廣州最高溫度？
35°C 20%
34°C 20%
33°C 17%
32°C 13%
最新
$19,425 交易量
最新
$19,425 交易量
2026-08-17
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
11%
32°C
13%
33°C
17%
34°C
20%
35°C
20%
36°C
13%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
<1%
35°C 20%
34°C 20%
33°C 17%
32°C 13%
最新
$19,425 交易量
最新
$19,425 交易量
2026-08-17
29°C或以下
$252 交易量
<1%
30°C
$388 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,906 交易量
11%
32°C
$1,589 交易量
13%
33°C
$1,735 交易量
17%
34°C
$1,818 交易量
20%
35°C
$1,308 交易量
20%
36°C
$2,014 交易量
13%
37°C
$2,925 交易量
7%
38°C
$3,965 交易量
2%
39°C或更高
$1,684 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight spread across 31–36°C outcomes for Guangzhou's peak temperature today as reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models amid the city's subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity of 75–85% and expected thundery showers are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping the market-implied odds balanced rather than favoring extremes. August climatology shows typical highs near 33–34°C, but local steering patterns, urban heat effects, and variable rainfall timing can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. New observational data and model updates through the afternoon will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
交易量
$19,425結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight spread across 31–36°C outcomes for Guangzhou's peak temperature today as reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models amid the city's subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity of 75–85% and expected thundery showers are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping the market-implied odds balanced rather than favoring extremes. August climatology shows typical highs near 33–34°C, but local steering patterns, urban heat effects, and variable rainfall timing can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. New observational data and model updates through the afternoon will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,425結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETTraders see the tight spread across 31–36°C outcomes for Guangzhou's peak temperature today as reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models amid the city's subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity of 75–85% and expected thundery showers are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping the market-implied odds balanced rather than favoring extremes. August climatology shows typical highs near 33–34°C, but local steering patterns, urban heat effects, and variable rainfall timing can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. New observational data and model updates through the afternoon will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions