Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by a mix of summer monsoon moisture, scattered thundershowers, and cloud cover that should limit radiative heating compared to clearer conditions. This places the outcome near or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8–32°C, consistent with recent days where Pacific humidity suppressed peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 31°C and 28% for 30°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for model uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Official observations from local meteorological services will determine resolution, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日上海最高溫度？
8月17日上海最高溫度？
31°C 45%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
45%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
$159 交易量
<1%
26°C
$159 交易量
<1%
27°C
$41 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,031 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,547 交易量
7%
30°C
$627 交易量
28%
31°C
$1,236 交易量
45%
32°C
$1,498 交易量
17%
33°C
$499 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,426 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$528 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by a mix of summer monsoon moisture, scattered thundershowers, and cloud cover that should limit radiative heating compared to clearer conditions. This places the outcome near or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8–32°C, consistent with recent days where Pacific humidity suppressed peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 31°C and 28% for 30°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for model uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Official observations from local meteorological services will determine resolution, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$8,751結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by a mix of summer monsoon moisture, scattered thundershowers, and cloud cover that should limit radiative heating compared to clearer conditions. This places the outcome near or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8–32°C, consistent with recent days where Pacific humidity suppressed peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 31°C and 28% for 30°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for model uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Official observations from local meteorological services will determine resolution, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,751結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by a mix of summer monsoon moisture, scattered thundershowers, and cloud cover that should limit radiative heating compared to clearer conditions. This places the outcome near or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8–32°C, consistent with recent days where Pacific humidity suppressed peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 31°C and 28% for 30°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for model uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts. Official observations from local meteorological services will determine resolution, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions