Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models highlight increasing cloud cover and scattered showers over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, which would reduce solar heating and introduce evaporative cooling, favoring daily maxima near 24–26 °C. These conditions contrast with the month’s typical 29–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus around the 25 °C bin reflects model agreement on modest instability and moisture advection that caps temperatures, while the narrow spread to 23 °C or 27 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日成都最高溫度？
8月18日成都最高溫度？
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
22°C 22%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
22%
23°C
19%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
15%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
22°C 22%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
21°C
$30 交易量
4%
22°C
$47 交易量
22%
23°C
$119 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
23%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$2 交易量
15%
27°C
$0 交易量
12%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models highlight increasing cloud cover and scattered showers over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, which would reduce solar heating and introduce evaporative cooling, favoring daily maxima near 24–26 °C. These conditions contrast with the month’s typical 29–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus around the 25 °C bin reflects model agreement on modest instability and moisture advection that caps temperatures, while the narrow spread to 23 °C or 27 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$208結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models highlight increasing cloud cover and scattered showers over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, which would reduce solar heating and introduce evaporative cooling, favoring daily maxima near 24–26 °C. These conditions contrast with the month’s typical 29–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus around the 25 °C bin reflects model agreement on modest instability and moisture advection that caps temperatures, while the narrow spread to 23 °C or 27 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$208結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models highlight increasing cloud cover and scattered showers over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, which would reduce solar heating and introduce evaporative cooling, favoring daily maxima near 24–26 °C. These conditions contrast with the month’s typical 29–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus around the 25 °C bin reflects model agreement on modest instability and moisture advection that caps temperatures, while the narrow spread to 23 °C or 27 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions