Recent KMA and international model consensus points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow over the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16, which is expected to suppress peak solar heating and keep the daily maximum near 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and 60 % precipitation probability further limit afternoon warming below late-summer climatological averages of 29–30 °C. Model runs show only limited clearing windows that could briefly reach 29 °C, while thicker cloud decks or sustained rain reduce odds of 30 °C or higher. These atmospheric conditions align with the market’s leading probabilities clustered around 27–29 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day radar trends will be the next key inputs for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
28°C 35%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 12%
$30,113 交易量
$30,113 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
35%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 35%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 12%
$30,113 交易量
$30,113 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
35%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA and international model consensus points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow over the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16, which is expected to suppress peak solar heating and keep the daily maximum near 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and 60 % precipitation probability further limit afternoon warming below late-summer climatological averages of 29–30 °C. Model runs show only limited clearing windows that could briefly reach 29 °C, while thicker cloud decks or sustained rain reduce odds of 30 °C or higher. These atmospheric conditions align with the market’s leading probabilities clustered around 27–29 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day radar trends will be the next key inputs for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions