Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 23°C on August 17 under cloudy conditions, elevated humidity near 75-80 percent, and typical urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology where daily normals reach 23.3°C and recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or precipitation. The market’s near-certain consensus on 23°C reflects this data-driven outlook and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Clearer skies or stronger nocturnal winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 22°C, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日東京的最低溫度？
8月17日東京的最低溫度？
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,546 交易量
$14,546 交易量
2026-08-17
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,546 交易量
$14,546 交易量
2026-08-17
19°C或以下
$197 交易量
否
20°C
$1,904 交易量
否
21°C
$862 交易量
否
22°C
$1,483 交易量
否
23°C
$2,234 交易量
是
24°C
$5,219 交易量
否
25°C
$1,636 交易量
否
26°C
$390 交易量
否
27°C
$212 交易量
否
28°C
$197 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$212 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 23°C on August 17 under cloudy conditions, elevated humidity near 75-80 percent, and typical urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology where daily normals reach 23.3°C and recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or precipitation. The market’s near-certain consensus on 23°C reflects this data-driven outlook and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Clearer skies or stronger nocturnal winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 22°C, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$14,546結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 23°C on August 17 under cloudy conditions, elevated humidity near 75-80 percent, and typical urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology where daily normals reach 23.3°C and recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or precipitation. The market’s near-certain consensus on 23°C reflects this data-driven outlook and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Clearer skies or stronger nocturnal winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 22°C, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,546結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 23°C on August 17 under cloudy conditions, elevated humidity near 75-80 percent, and typical urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology where daily normals reach 23.3°C and recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or precipitation. The market’s near-certain consensus on 23°C reflects this data-driven outlook and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Clearer skies or stronger nocturnal winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 22°C, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions