Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日西雅圖的最高溫度？
9月1日西雅圖的最高溫度？
72-73°F 51%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 30%
70-71°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
51%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
16%
華氏82度或更高
15%
72-73°F 51%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 30%
70-71°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
63°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$20 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
9%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
29%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
51%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
30%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
41%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
16%
華氏82度或更高
$7 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$27結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETForecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions