Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models point to a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 30 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% shower chance, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer, more humid air into the region after cooler conditions earlier in the week. This places the outcome near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 24°C, with afternoon cloud cover and potential precipitation timing introducing uncertainty that could cap the daily maximum at 24–25°C or allow brief clearing to reach 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 24°C and 25°C probabilities captures this narrow range of variability from steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, while lower odds on 27°C+ align with limited intensification potential before showers develop. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日多倫多氣溫最高?
24°C 35%
23°C 24%
25°C 23%
22°C 8%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
23%
26°C
6%
27°C或以上
4%
24°C 35%
23°C 24%
25°C 23%
22°C 8%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
23%
26°C
6%
27°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models point to a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 30 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% shower chance, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer, more humid air into the region after cooler conditions earlier in the week. This places the outcome near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 24°C, with afternoon cloud cover and potential precipitation timing introducing uncertainty that could cap the daily maximum at 24–25°C or allow brief clearing to reach 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 24°C and 25°C probabilities captures this narrow range of variability from steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, while lower odds on 27°C+ align with limited intensification potential before showers develop. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions