**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a nighttime low of 19°C for Toronto on August 30, with cloudy skies, a 60% chance of showers, and light southwesterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 19°C and 20°C (34% each), followed by 18°C (26%), reflecting trader consensus around mild overnight conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit radiational cooling, while warm advection from the southwest maintains temperatures above seasonal normals (historical average low ~16.4°C). Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiational cooling is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 18–20°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings on August 30 will provide the final data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月30日多倫多氣溫最低？
20°C 36%
19°C 35%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
14°C或以下
13%
15°C
13%
16°C
26%
17°C
23%
18°C
27%
19°C
35%
20°C
36%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C或以上
16%
20°C 36%
19°C 35%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
14°C或以下
$58 交易量
13%
15°C
$134 交易量
13%
16°C
$6 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
23%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
35%
20°C
$0 交易量
36%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
5%
23°C
$20 交易量
8%
24°C或以上
$10 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a nighttime low of 19°C for Toronto on August 30, with cloudy skies, a 60% chance of showers, and light southwesterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 19°C and 20°C (34% each), followed by 18°C (26%), reflecting trader consensus around mild overnight conditions.
Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit radiational cooling, while warm advection from the southwest maintains temperatures above seasonal normals (historical average low ~16.4°C). Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiational cooling is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 18–20°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings on August 30 will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$228結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a nighttime low of 19°C for Toronto on August 30, with cloudy skies, a 60% chance of showers, and light southwesterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 19°C and 20°C (34% each), followed by 18°C (26%), reflecting trader consensus around mild overnight conditions.
Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit radiational cooling, while warm advection from the southwest maintains temperatures above seasonal normals (historical average low ~16.4°C). Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiational cooling is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 18–20°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings on August 30 will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$228結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a nighttime low of 19°C for Toronto on August 30, with cloudy skies, a 60% chance of showers, and light southwesterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 19°C and 20°C (34% each), followed by 18°C (26%), reflecting trader consensus around mild overnight conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit radiational cooling, while warm advection from the southwest maintains temperatures above seasonal normals (historical average low ~16.4°C). Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiational cooling is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 18–20°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings on August 30 will provide the final data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions