Persistent Southwest Monsoon flow across Luzon, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Philippines, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and strong southwesterly winds into Manila on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, suppressing the daily maximum below the long-term August average near 30 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble guidance currently favor a peak of 27–29 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts that can shave an additional degree or two from the high. Traders are therefore weighting the balance between monsoon-driven cooling and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 30 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月29日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
4%
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$63 交易量
5%
26°C
$77 交易量
7%
27°C
$0 交易量
15%
28°C
$17 交易量
29%
29°C
$0 交易量
28%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$47 交易量
5%
32°C
$228 交易量
3%
33°C或更高
$105 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon flow across Luzon, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Philippines, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and strong southwesterly winds into Manila on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, suppressing the daily maximum below the long-term August average near 30 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble guidance currently favor a peak of 27–29 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts that can shave an additional degree or two from the high. Traders are therefore weighting the balance between monsoon-driven cooling and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$537結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon flow across Luzon, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Philippines, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and strong southwesterly winds into Manila on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, suppressing the daily maximum below the long-term August average near 30 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble guidance currently favor a peak of 27–29 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts that can shave an additional degree or two from the high. Traders are therefore weighting the balance between monsoon-driven cooling and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$537結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent Southwest Monsoon flow across Luzon, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Philippines, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and strong southwesterly winds into Manila on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, suppressing the daily maximum below the long-term August average near 30 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble guidance currently favor a peak of 27–29 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts that can shave an additional degree or two from the high. Traders are therefore weighting the balance between monsoon-driven cooling and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 30 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions