Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 27 points to a maximum near 13–14 °C, driving the tight 45 % / 36.5 % split between those two outcomes. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest daytime warming, yet a strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching front could keep the peak closer to the seasonal average of 12 °C. Small differences in timing of the wind shift or residual cloud amount separate the leading bins, with ensemble members showing comparable support for either value. Updated short-range runs from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours will refine whether the maximum exceeds 13.5 °C or remains capped below it.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月27日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 45%
13°C 37%
15°C 8%
12°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
37%
14°C
45%
15°C
8%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 37%
15°C 8%
12°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
8°C or below
$318 交易量
<1%
9°C
$186 交易量
<1%
10°C
$225 交易量
1%
11°C
$52 交易量
3%
12°C
$0 交易量
7%
13°C
$109 交易量
37%
14°C
$181 交易量
45%
15°C
$384 交易量
8%
16°C
$0 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C or higher
$130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 27 points to a maximum near 13–14 °C, driving the tight 45 % / 36.5 % split between those two outcomes. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest daytime warming, yet a strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching front could keep the peak closer to the seasonal average of 12 °C. Small differences in timing of the wind shift or residual cloud amount separate the leading bins, with ensemble members showing comparable support for either value. Updated short-range runs from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours will refine whether the maximum exceeds 13.5 °C or remains capped below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,586結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 27 points to a maximum near 13–14 °C, driving the tight 45 % / 36.5 % split between those two outcomes. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest daytime warming, yet a strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching front could keep the peak closer to the seasonal average of 12 °C. Small differences in timing of the wind shift or residual cloud amount separate the leading bins, with ensemble members showing comparable support for either value. Updated short-range runs from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours will refine whether the maximum exceeds 13.5 °C or remains capped below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,586結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 27 points to a maximum near 13–14 °C, driving the tight 45 % / 36.5 % split between those two outcomes. A weak high-pressure ridge is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest daytime warming, yet a strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching front could keep the peak closer to the seasonal average of 12 °C. Small differences in timing of the wind shift or residual cloud amount separate the leading bins, with ensemble members showing comparable support for either value. Updated short-range runs from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours will refine whether the maximum exceeds 13.5 °C or remains capped below it.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions