Recent weather model consensus from agencies tracking the region points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Moscow on August 27, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities for those outcomes. Cooling from the prior day's showers and a northwesterly flow have suppressed daytime maxima, with current runs showing limited warming potential under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical late-August climatology in the area typically features highs around 20–22°C, but the latest observational data indicate slightly below-normal conditions persisting. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will be the key variable that could shift trader positioning toward 20°C or cooler thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日莫斯科最高溫度?
18°C 42%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 13%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C
32%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
18°C 42%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 13%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C
32%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies tracking the region points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Moscow on August 27, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities for those outcomes. Cooling from the prior day's showers and a northwesterly flow have suppressed daytime maxima, with current runs showing limited warming potential under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical late-August climatology in the area typically features highs around 20–22°C, but the latest observational data indicate slightly below-normal conditions persisting. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will be the key variable that could shift trader positioning toward 20°C or cooler thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions