Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 27, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected under continued monsoon moisture and southerly flow. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer summer days, aligning closely with the 30.5% and 22.5% market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while supporting the 20.5% chance of 31°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet the current pattern of 70–85% rain probabilities and high humidity favors the lower end of the typical range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine timing of any breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日廣州最高溫度？
8月27日廣州最高溫度？
32°C 31%
33°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
31%
33°C
23%
34°C
8%
35°C或以上
3%
32°C 31%
33°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C或以下
$385 交易量
1%
26°C
$389 交易量
<1%
27°C
$345 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6 交易量
1%
29°C
$244 交易量
5%
30°C
$625 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,004 交易量
21%
32°C
$659 交易量
31%
33°C
$762 交易量
23%
34°C
$554 交易量
8%
35°C或以上
$682 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 27, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected under continued monsoon moisture and southerly flow. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer summer days, aligning closely with the 30.5% and 22.5% market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while supporting the 20.5% chance of 31°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet the current pattern of 70–85% rain probabilities and high humidity favors the lower end of the typical range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine timing of any breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,654結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 27, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected under continued monsoon moisture and southerly flow. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer summer days, aligning closely with the 30.5% and 22.5% market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while supporting the 20.5% chance of 31°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet the current pattern of 70–85% rain probabilities and high humidity favors the lower end of the typical range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine timing of any breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,654結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 27, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected under continued monsoon moisture and southerly flow. These conditions limit surface heating compared to clearer summer days, aligning closely with the 30.5% and 22.5% market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while supporting the 20.5% chance of 31°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet the current pattern of 70–85% rain probabilities and high humidity favors the lower end of the typical range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine timing of any breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions