Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate Moscow's August 28 high will likely fall in the 18–20 °C range under building high pressure, variable cloudiness, and light northwesterly to easterly winds. Daytime solar heating is tempered by expected partial cloud cover and modest moisture, keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak temperatures, with the primary uncertainties tied to the precise timing of any cloud breaks and small adjustments in boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日莫斯科最高溫度?
19°C 46%
20°C 29%
18°C 26%
21°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
14%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
19°C 46%
20°C 29%
18°C 26%
21°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
14%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate Moscow's August 28 high will likely fall in the 18–20 °C range under building high pressure, variable cloudiness, and light northwesterly to easterly winds. Daytime solar heating is tempered by expected partial cloud cover and modest moisture, keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak temperatures, with the primary uncertainties tied to the precise timing of any cloud breaks and small adjustments in boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions