Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature near 31–32 °C for Karachi on August 28, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 65–75 %, and partly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating while the Arabian Sea moderates extremes. Recent observations show daily maxima clustered between 30–33 °C with no strong systems or clear-sky radiative forcing expected to shift the range materially before resolution. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble consensus reinforce this narrow band, keeping probabilities for 34 °C or higher low unless unexpected subsidence develops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
32°C 44%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 11%
26°C或以下
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
7%
32°C 44%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 11%
26°C或以下
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature near 31–32 °C for Karachi on August 28, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 65–75 %, and partly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating while the Arabian Sea moderates extremes. Recent observations show daily maxima clustered between 30–33 °C with no strong systems or clear-sky radiative forcing expected to shift the range materially before resolution. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble consensus reinforce this narrow band, keeping probabilities for 34 °C or higher low unless unexpected subsidence develops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions