Recent forecasts from multiple models project Shanghai's August 26 high near 32–33°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, reflecting typical diurnal ranges and modest variability around seasonal norms of roughly 29–31°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences limit upside to 33°C or higher, while minimal cooling keeps sub-30°C outcomes improbable. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift these trader-implied odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日上海最高溫度？
8月26日上海最高溫度？
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
47%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C or below
$40 交易量
<1%
27°C
$40 交易量
<1%
28°C
$30 交易量
<1%
29°C
$403 交易量
3%
30°C
$211 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,024 交易量
47%
32°C
$119 交易量
37%
33°C
$56 交易量
11%
34°C
$207 交易量
3%
35°C
$0 交易量
6%
36°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project Shanghai's August 26 high near 32–33°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, reflecting typical diurnal ranges and modest variability around seasonal norms of roughly 29–31°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences limit upside to 33°C or higher, while minimal cooling keeps sub-30°C outcomes improbable. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift these trader-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,170結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project Shanghai's August 26 high near 32–33°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, reflecting typical diurnal ranges and modest variability around seasonal norms of roughly 29–31°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences limit upside to 33°C or higher, while minimal cooling keeps sub-30°C outcomes improbable. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift these trader-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,170結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models project Shanghai's August 26 high near 32–33°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, reflecting typical diurnal ranges and modest variability around seasonal norms of roughly 29–31°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences limit upside to 33°C or higher, while minimal cooling keeps sub-30°C outcomes improbable. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift these trader-implied odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions