Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日廣州最高溫度？
8月24日廣州最高溫度？
33°C 28%
35°C或以上 21%
34°C 20%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
18%
33°C
28%
34°C
26%
35°C或以上
21%
33°C 28%
35°C或以上 21%
34°C 20%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$15 交易量
1%
30°C
$61 交易量
10%
31°C
$0 交易量
12%
32°C
$0 交易量
18%
33°C
$61 交易量
28%
34°C
$30 交易量
26%
35°C或以上
$136 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$314結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$314結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions