Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Seoul and Incheon under lingering summer influence from the North Pacific high, with mostly cloudy skies, high humidity near 85-90%, and a chance of light showers or drizzle on August 22 that could limit daytime heating. This setup produces market-implied odds peaking at 28°C and 29°C, reflecting ensemble consensus around typical late-August maxima near 29°C after mid-month peaks above 32°C. Key variables include exact timing of any weak frontal boundary, which could shave 1-2°C off highs, versus clearer intervals allowing brief warming to 30°C. Official guidance through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
29°C 25%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
25%
30°C
21%
31°C
11%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 25%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
25%
30°C
21%
31°C
11%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Seoul and Incheon under lingering summer influence from the North Pacific high, with mostly cloudy skies, high humidity near 85-90%, and a chance of light showers or drizzle on August 22 that could limit daytime heating. This setup produces market-implied odds peaking at 28°C and 29°C, reflecting ensemble consensus around typical late-August maxima near 29°C after mid-month peaks above 32°C. Key variables include exact timing of any weak frontal boundary, which could shave 1-2°C off highs, versus clearer intervals allowing brief warming to 30°C. Official guidance through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions