Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily high of 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered thundery showers that may limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 34–37°C, but late-month cooling trends and precipitation episodes often moderate extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in maximum temperature depending on exact timing and intensity of convection, with resolution hinging on official station readings from the Wuhan meteorological observatory. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日武漢氣溫最高?
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 16%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
16%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
12%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 16%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
16%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
12%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily high of 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered thundery showers that may limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 34–37°C, but late-month cooling trends and precipitation episodes often moderate extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in maximum temperature depending on exact timing and intensity of convection, with resolution hinging on official station readings from the Wuhan meteorological observatory. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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