Forecast models from meteorological agencies currently center the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 20 around 34–36°C, with 35°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 45%. Subtropical monsoon conditions featuring near-80% humidity and afternoon convection typically moderate peaks through scattered thundery showers, while brief clear intervals can allow localized heating 1–2°C above the 32–34°C August climatological average. Recent guidance highlights these dynamics as the main drivers keeping 35°C and 36°C ahead of lower outcomes, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution probabilities in the final hours before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 45%
36°C 24%
34°C 18%
37°C 7%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
18%
35°C
45%
36°C
24%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C或以上
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 24%
34°C 18%
37°C 7%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
18%
35°C
45%
36°C
24%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from meteorological agencies currently center the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 20 around 34–36°C, with 35°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 45%. Subtropical monsoon conditions featuring near-80% humidity and afternoon convection typically moderate peaks through scattered thundery showers, while brief clear intervals can allow localized heating 1–2°C above the 32–34°C August climatological average. Recent guidance highlights these dynamics as the main drivers keeping 35°C and 36°C ahead of lower outcomes, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution probabilities in the final hours before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions