Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月21日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月21日的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$28,872 交易量
$28,872 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$28,872 交易量
$28,872 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
$550 交易量
No
23°C
$725 交易量
No
24°C
$444 交易量
No
25°C
$1,522 交易量
No
26°C
$11,574 交易量
Yes
27°C
$5,129 交易量
No
28°C
$3,929 交易量
No
29°C
$2,307 交易量
No
30°C
$1,651 交易量
No
31°C
$625 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$418 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,872結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,872結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions