**Recent official forecasts position 23–25°C as the most likely range for Munich’s maximum temperature on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 36%, 23°C at 26%, 25°C at 20%).** European and global models, including runs referenced by the German Weather Service and Met Office, indicate a transitional late-summer pattern under building high pressure, with daytime maxima stabilizing in the low-to-mid 20s °C after cooler conditions on the 22nd–23rd. Historical August averages for Munich hover near 23°C, and the current setup lacks the strong southerly flow or clear-sky radiative heating that produced the 31°C spike earlier in the month. Short-range model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability for the 24th, with light easterly winds and scattered cloud reducing the chance of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Traders appear to weight the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as resolution is imminent and further model updates will have diminishing impact before the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月24日慕尼黑最高溫度？
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
1%
20°C
$5 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$135 交易量
13%
23°C
$383 交易量
26%
24°C
$88 交易量
36%
25°C
$38 交易量
20%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$20 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 23–25°C as the most likely range for Munich’s maximum temperature on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 36%, 23°C at 26%, 25°C at 20%).**
European and global models, including runs referenced by the German Weather Service and Met Office, indicate a transitional late-summer pattern under building high pressure, with daytime maxima stabilizing in the low-to-mid 20s °C after cooler conditions on the 22nd–23rd. Historical August averages for Munich hover near 23°C, and the current setup lacks the strong southerly flow or clear-sky radiative heating that produced the 31°C spike earlier in the month.
Short-range model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability for the 24th, with light easterly winds and scattered cloud reducing the chance of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Traders appear to weight the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as resolution is imminent and further model updates will have diminishing impact before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$685結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 23–25°C as the most likely range for Munich’s maximum temperature on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 36%, 23°C at 26%, 25°C at 20%).**
European and global models, including runs referenced by the German Weather Service and Met Office, indicate a transitional late-summer pattern under building high pressure, with daytime maxima stabilizing in the low-to-mid 20s °C after cooler conditions on the 22nd–23rd. Historical August averages for Munich hover near 23°C, and the current setup lacks the strong southerly flow or clear-sky radiative heating that produced the 31°C spike earlier in the month.
Short-range model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability for the 24th, with light easterly winds and scattered cloud reducing the chance of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Traders appear to weight the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as resolution is imminent and further model updates will have diminishing impact before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$685結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET**Recent official forecasts position 23–25°C as the most likely range for Munich’s maximum temperature on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 36%, 23°C at 26%, 25°C at 20%).** European and global models, including runs referenced by the German Weather Service and Met Office, indicate a transitional late-summer pattern under building high pressure, with daytime maxima stabilizing in the low-to-mid 20s °C after cooler conditions on the 22nd–23rd. Historical August averages for Munich hover near 23°C, and the current setup lacks the strong southerly flow or clear-sky radiative heating that produced the 31°C spike earlier in the month. Short-range model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability for the 24th, with light easterly winds and scattered cloud reducing the chance of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Traders appear to weight the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as resolution is imminent and further model updates will have diminishing impact before the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions