Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate.com converge on a Munich maximum near 22–23°C for August 22 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This setup reflects a transition to more stable high pressure with limited warm-air advection from southern Europe, keeping values close to late-summer climatological norms of 22–25°C rather than allowing significant warming. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around cloud cover or minor frontal influences that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders have priced 22°C highest at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C and 23°C, as upcoming high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance refine the exact daytime maximum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
22°C 38%
21°C 29%
23°C 25%
20°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
29%
22°C
38%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 38%
21°C 29%
23°C 25%
20°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
29%
22°C
38%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate.com converge on a Munich maximum near 22–23°C for August 22 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This setup reflects a transition to more stable high pressure with limited warm-air advection from southern Europe, keeping values close to late-summer climatological norms of 22–25°C rather than allowing significant warming. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around cloud cover or minor frontal influences that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders have priced 22°C highest at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C and 23°C, as upcoming high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance refine the exact daytime maximum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions