Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF highlight moderate uncertainty in Munich's peak temperature for August 20, with consensus pointing toward highs near 26°C amid shifting high-pressure ridges and possible thunderstorm activity. Key variables include daytime radiative heating under variable cloud cover, southerly warm-air advection, and localized cooling from precipitation, which could cap or elevate readings by 1–3°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical August baselines average around 23–25°C, making current guidance slightly above normal yet sensitive to small changes in steering patterns or frontal passages. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C as models converge on that central tendency, while spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects typical ensemble divergence at this 48-hour lead time ahead of next official updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月20日慕尼黑最高溫度？
26°C 36%
27°C 24%
25°C 20%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
36%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 24%
25°C 20%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
$265 交易量
<1%
21°C
$311 交易量
1%
22°C
$240 交易量
1%
23°C
$655 交易量
2%
24°C
$658 交易量
5%
25°C
$100 交易量
20%
26°C
$112 交易量
36%
27°C
$290 交易量
24%
28°C
$262 交易量
8%
29°C
$276 交易量
3%
30°C or higher
$365 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF highlight moderate uncertainty in Munich's peak temperature for August 20, with consensus pointing toward highs near 26°C amid shifting high-pressure ridges and possible thunderstorm activity. Key variables include daytime radiative heating under variable cloud cover, southerly warm-air advection, and localized cooling from precipitation, which could cap or elevate readings by 1–3°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical August baselines average around 23–25°C, making current guidance slightly above normal yet sensitive to small changes in steering patterns or frontal passages. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C as models converge on that central tendency, while spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects typical ensemble divergence at this 48-hour lead time ahead of next official updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,534結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF highlight moderate uncertainty in Munich's peak temperature for August 20, with consensus pointing toward highs near 26°C amid shifting high-pressure ridges and possible thunderstorm activity. Key variables include daytime radiative heating under variable cloud cover, southerly warm-air advection, and localized cooling from precipitation, which could cap or elevate readings by 1–3°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical August baselines average around 23–25°C, making current guidance slightly above normal yet sensitive to small changes in steering patterns or frontal passages. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C as models converge on that central tendency, while spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects typical ensemble divergence at this 48-hour lead time ahead of next official updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,534結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF highlight moderate uncertainty in Munich's peak temperature for August 20, with consensus pointing toward highs near 26°C amid shifting high-pressure ridges and possible thunderstorm activity. Key variables include daytime radiative heating under variable cloud cover, southerly warm-air advection, and localized cooling from precipitation, which could cap or elevate readings by 1–3°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical August baselines average around 23–25°C, making current guidance slightly above normal yet sensitive to small changes in steering patterns or frontal passages. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C as models converge on that central tendency, while spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects typical ensemble divergence at this 48-hour lead time ahead of next official updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions