Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 18 indicate subtropical summer conditions with highs most likely between 30–33°C, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread convective thunderstorms that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows isolated storms and overcast skies suppressing extremes, consistent with August climatology where average maxima hover near 32°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the broad distribution peaking at 32°C, captures uncertainty in storm timing, intensity, and any steering influences from regional tropical systems, with lower probabilities for outliers above 34°C or below 29°C given stable large-scale patterns. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日深圳最高溫度？
8月18日深圳最高溫度？
32°C 29%
31°C 18%
33°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
22%
32°C
29%
33°C
16%
34°C
7%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
8%
32°C 29%
31°C 18%
33°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
26°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
10%
30°C
$4 交易量
11%
31°C
$29 交易量
22%
32°C
$0 交易量
29%
33°C
$6 交易量
16%
34°C
$0 交易量
7%
35°C
$5 交易量
6%
36°C or higher
$16 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 18 indicate subtropical summer conditions with highs most likely between 30–33°C, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread convective thunderstorms that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows isolated storms and overcast skies suppressing extremes, consistent with August climatology where average maxima hover near 32°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the broad distribution peaking at 32°C, captures uncertainty in storm timing, intensity, and any steering influences from regional tropical systems, with lower probabilities for outliers above 34°C or below 29°C given stable large-scale patterns. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 18 indicate subtropical summer conditions with highs most likely between 30–33°C, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread convective thunderstorms that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows isolated storms and overcast skies suppressing extremes, consistent with August climatology where average maxima hover near 32°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the broad distribution peaking at 32°C, captures uncertainty in storm timing, intensity, and any steering influences from regional tropical systems, with lower probabilities for outliers above 34°C or below 29°C given stable large-scale patterns. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 18 indicate subtropical summer conditions with highs most likely between 30–33°C, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread convective thunderstorms that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows isolated storms and overcast skies suppressing extremes, consistent with August climatology where average maxima hover near 32°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the broad distribution peaking at 32°C, captures uncertainty in storm timing, intensity, and any steering influences from regional tropical systems, with lower probabilities for outliers above 34°C or below 29°C given stable large-scale patterns. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions