Subtropical monsoon conditions and ensemble forecast consensus anchor trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s August 18 maximum near 34–35°C. In this humid subtropical climate, peak daytime temperatures depend on incoming solar radiation modulated by cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Recent model runs show typical mid-August instability with scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and can reduce highs by 1–2°C relative to clearer scenarios. The close probabilities between 34°C and 35°C reflect uncertainty in thunderstorm onset and intensity, while lower odds for 36°C or higher indicate that stronger convection or earlier cloud build-up would cap extremes. Official guidance from regional models continues to cluster outcomes in the 33–35°C range through the peak heating window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日廣州最高溫度？
8月18日廣州最高溫度？
35°C 31%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 16%
最新
$15,384 交易量
最新
$15,384 交易量
2026-08-18
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
16%
34°C
30%
35°C
31%
36°C
17%
37°C或以上
1%
35°C 31%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 16%
最新
$15,384 交易量
最新
$15,384 交易量
2026-08-18
27°C或以下
$236 交易量
<1%
28°C
$216 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,533 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,424 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,218 交易量
3%
32°C
$1,006 交易量
5%
33°C
$853 交易量
16%
34°C
$935 交易量
30%
35°C
$1,045 交易量
31%
36°C
$1,238 交易量
17%
37°C或以上
$4,680 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical monsoon conditions and ensemble forecast consensus anchor trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s August 18 maximum near 34–35°C. In this humid subtropical climate, peak daytime temperatures depend on incoming solar radiation modulated by cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Recent model runs show typical mid-August instability with scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and can reduce highs by 1–2°C relative to clearer scenarios. The close probabilities between 34°C and 35°C reflect uncertainty in thunderstorm onset and intensity, while lower odds for 36°C or higher indicate that stronger convection or earlier cloud build-up would cap extremes. Official guidance from regional models continues to cluster outcomes in the 33–35°C range through the peak heating window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,384結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical monsoon conditions and ensemble forecast consensus anchor trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s August 18 maximum near 34–35°C. In this humid subtropical climate, peak daytime temperatures depend on incoming solar radiation modulated by cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Recent model runs show typical mid-August instability with scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and can reduce highs by 1–2°C relative to clearer scenarios. The close probabilities between 34°C and 35°C reflect uncertainty in thunderstorm onset and intensity, while lower odds for 36°C or higher indicate that stronger convection or earlier cloud build-up would cap extremes. Official guidance from regional models continues to cluster outcomes in the 33–35°C range through the peak heating window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,384結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSubtropical monsoon conditions and ensemble forecast consensus anchor trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s August 18 maximum near 34–35°C. In this humid subtropical climate, peak daytime temperatures depend on incoming solar radiation modulated by cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Recent model runs show typical mid-August instability with scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and can reduce highs by 1–2°C relative to clearer scenarios. The close probabilities between 34°C and 35°C reflect uncertainty in thunderstorm onset and intensity, while lower odds for 36°C or higher indicate that stronger convection or earlier cloud build-up would cap extremes. Official guidance from regional models continues to cluster outcomes in the 33–35°C range through the peak heating window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions