Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a chance of light showers. These conditions draw cooler maritime air from the Baltic Sea, limiting afternoon heating and aligning with late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This forecast consensus, showing limited ensemble spread, underpins trader positioning that favors 20–22°C outcomes as the most probable while assigning lower implied probabilities to extremes above 23°C or below 19°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in Baltic pressure patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基8月19日的最高溫度?
21°C 40%
20°C 26%
22°C 26%
19°C 9%
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
26%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 40%
20°C 26%
22°C 26%
19°C 9%
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
26%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a chance of light showers. These conditions draw cooler maritime air from the Baltic Sea, limiting afternoon heating and aligning with late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This forecast consensus, showing limited ensemble spread, underpins trader positioning that favors 20–22°C outcomes as the most probable while assigning lower implied probabilities to extremes above 23°C or below 19°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in Baltic pressure patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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