Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver keeping Manila's August 19 daytime maximum in the 28–29°C range according to trader consensus. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a 31°C high with 60% rain chance under continued cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–31°C, yet recent model runs and habagat-driven cloud cover have frequently produced peaks 1–2°C below guidance. The tight 33.5%/31.5% split between 29°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月19日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
29°C 34%
28°C 32%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
32%
29°C
34%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C或以上
3%
29°C 34%
28°C 32%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
$186 交易量
<1%
23°C
$186 交易量
<1%
24°C
$191 交易量
<1%
25°C
$34 交易量
2%
26°C
$25 交易量
4%
27°C
$12 交易量
11%
28°C
$36 交易量
32%
29°C
$48 交易量
34%
30°C
$286 交易量
15%
31°C
$68 交易量
5%
32°C或以上
$65 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver keeping Manila's August 19 daytime maximum in the 28–29°C range according to trader consensus. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a 31°C high with 60% rain chance under continued cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–31°C, yet recent model runs and habagat-driven cloud cover have frequently produced peaks 1–2°C below guidance. The tight 33.5%/31.5% split between 29°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,137結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver keeping Manila's August 19 daytime maximum in the 28–29°C range according to trader consensus. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a 31°C high with 60% rain chance under continued cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–31°C, yet recent model runs and habagat-driven cloud cover have frequently produced peaks 1–2°C below guidance. The tight 33.5%/31.5% split between 29°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,137結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver keeping Manila's August 19 daytime maximum in the 28–29°C range according to trader consensus. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a 31°C high with 60% rain chance under continued cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–31°C, yet recent model runs and habagat-driven cloud cover have frequently produced peaks 1–2°C below guidance. The tight 33.5%/31.5% split between 29°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions