Forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Munich on August 17, following warmer conditions the prior two days. This convective activity and reduced insolation are the main drivers capping the daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the nearly even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which modulate surface heating and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier convection would favor 22 °C or below, while more limited or delayed rainfall could allow brief peaks near 23 °C. Historical August averages near 22–23 °C provide context, with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from evolving low-level moisture and steering flow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月17日慕尼黑最高溫度？
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
21°C 15%
20°C or below 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C or below
7%
21°C
15%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
21°C 15%
20°C or below 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C or below
$491 交易量
7%
21°C
$1,181 交易量
15%
22°C
$168 交易量
37%
23°C
$1,017 交易量
37%
24°C
$623 交易量
7%
25°C
$259 交易量
4%
26°C
$169 交易量
1%
27°C
$19 交易量
<1%
28°C
$147 交易量
<1%
29°C
$37 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Munich on August 17, following warmer conditions the prior two days. This convective activity and reduced insolation are the main drivers capping the daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the nearly even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which modulate surface heating and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier convection would favor 22 °C or below, while more limited or delayed rainfall could allow brief peaks near 23 °C. Historical August averages near 22–23 °C provide context, with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from evolving low-level moisture and steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$4,149結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Munich on August 17, following warmer conditions the prior two days. This convective activity and reduced insolation are the main drivers capping the daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the nearly even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which modulate surface heating and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier convection would favor 22 °C or below, while more limited or delayed rainfall could allow brief peaks near 23 °C. Historical August averages near 22–23 °C provide context, with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from evolving low-level moisture and steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,149結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETForecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Munich on August 17, following warmer conditions the prior two days. This convective activity and reduced insolation are the main drivers capping the daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the nearly even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which modulate surface heating and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier convection would favor 22 °C or below, while more limited or delayed rainfall could allow brief peaks near 23 °C. Historical August averages near 22–23 °C provide context, with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from evolving low-level moisture and steering flow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions