Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show a sunny high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, supporting daytime warming under strong August insolation, though Lake Ontario moderation and possible afternoon cloud buildup introduce variability. Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 27°C maximum, while some ensemble runs and private services cluster nearer 24–26°C amid minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market pricing, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these consensus peaks against typical model bias and short-term steering uncertainties that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies and next-day observations will refine the resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月15日多倫多氣溫最高？
26°C 42%
25°C 37%
24°C 10%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
37%
26°C
42%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 37%
24°C 10%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
19°C or below
$97 交易量
<1%
20°C
$87 交易量
<1%
21°C
$453 交易量
1%
22°C
$369 交易量
2%
23°C
$407 交易量
2%
24°C
$310 交易量
10%
25°C
$194 交易量
37%
26°C
$1,612 交易量
42%
27°C
$374 交易量
9%
28°C
$195 交易量
2%
29°C or higher
$146 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show a sunny high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, supporting daytime warming under strong August insolation, though Lake Ontario moderation and possible afternoon cloud buildup introduce variability. Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 27°C maximum, while some ensemble runs and private services cluster nearer 24–26°C amid minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market pricing, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these consensus peaks against typical model bias and short-term steering uncertainties that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies and next-day observations will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$4,243結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show a sunny high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, supporting daytime warming under strong August insolation, though Lake Ontario moderation and possible afternoon cloud buildup introduce variability. Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 27°C maximum, while some ensemble runs and private services cluster nearer 24–26°C amid minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market pricing, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these consensus peaks against typical model bias and short-term steering uncertainties that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies and next-day observations will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,243結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETForecast models for Toronto on August 15 show a sunny high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, supporting daytime warming under strong August insolation, though Lake Ontario moderation and possible afternoon cloud buildup introduce variability. Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 27°C maximum, while some ensemble runs and private services cluster nearer 24–26°C amid minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market pricing, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these consensus peaks against typical model bias and short-term steering uncertainties that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies and next-day observations will refine the resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions