Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 14 most likely between 35°C and 37°C, driving the close market-implied odds around those thresholds. The Sichuan basin's characteristic summer setup—dominated by the subtropical high, high humidity near 70-80%, and light winds—favors strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum. Recent model runs show minor cooling from prior days' heat, consistent with typical mid-August variability where daily highs fluctuate 2-4°C based on steering patterns and moisture. Updated forecasts from official agencies over the next 24-48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日成都最高溫度？
8月14日成都最高溫度？
36°C 34%
37°C 30%
35°C 17%
38°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
30%
38°C
9%
39°C
4%
40°C或以上
<1%
36°C 34%
37°C 30%
35°C 17%
38°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
30°C或以下
$93 交易量
<1%
31°C
$50 交易量
1%
32°C
$99 交易量
1%
33°C
$119 交易量
4%
34°C
$101 交易量
8%
35°C
$67 交易量
17%
36°C
$130 交易量
34%
37°C
$2,397 交易量
30%
38°C
$41 交易量
9%
39°C
$75 交易量
4%
40°C或以上
$624 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 14 most likely between 35°C and 37°C, driving the close market-implied odds around those thresholds. The Sichuan basin's characteristic summer setup—dominated by the subtropical high, high humidity near 70-80%, and light winds—favors strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum. Recent model runs show minor cooling from prior days' heat, consistent with typical mid-August variability where daily highs fluctuate 2-4°C based on steering patterns and moisture. Updated forecasts from official agencies over the next 24-48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,797結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 14 most likely between 35°C and 37°C, driving the close market-implied odds around those thresholds. The Sichuan basin's characteristic summer setup—dominated by the subtropical high, high humidity near 70-80%, and light winds—favors strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum. Recent model runs show minor cooling from prior days' heat, consistent with typical mid-August variability where daily highs fluctuate 2-4°C based on steering patterns and moisture. Updated forecasts from official agencies over the next 24-48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,797結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 14 most likely between 35°C and 37°C, driving the close market-implied odds around those thresholds. The Sichuan basin's characteristic summer setup—dominated by the subtropical high, high humidity near 70-80%, and light winds—favors strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum. Recent model runs show minor cooling from prior days' heat, consistent with typical mid-August variability where daily highs fluctuate 2-4°C based on steering patterns and moisture. Updated forecasts from official agencies over the next 24-48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions