Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Center models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Moscow on August 14 as the most probable outcome, with the close 30.5 % / 28 % market split reflecting modest spread in predicted insolation and boundary-layer mixing. A cooler maritime air mass advected behind recent showers continues to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and light northeasterly flow introduce small uncertainties of 1–2 °C tied to surface energy balance and residual soil moisture. These factors align with climatological late-summer norms near 19 °C but tilt slightly cooler, keeping 19 °C and 16 °C as secondary contenders pending the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月14日莫斯科的最高溫度？
18°C 31%
17°C 29%
16°C 15%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
15%
17°C
29%
18°C
31%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C或更高
1%
18°C 31%
17°C 29%
16°C 15%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
$22 交易量
4%
14°C
$290 交易量
2%
15°C
$3 交易量
6%
16°C
$48 交易量
15%
17°C
$988 交易量
29%
18°C
$286 交易量
31%
19°C
$204 交易量
12%
20°C
$43 交易量
3%
21°C
$10 交易量
5%
22°C
$5 交易量
1%
23°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Center models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Moscow on August 14 as the most probable outcome, with the close 30.5 % / 28 % market split reflecting modest spread in predicted insolation and boundary-layer mixing. A cooler maritime air mass advected behind recent showers continues to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and light northeasterly flow introduce small uncertainties of 1–2 °C tied to surface energy balance and residual soil moisture. These factors align with climatological late-summer norms near 19 °C but tilt slightly cooler, keeping 19 °C and 16 °C as secondary contenders pending the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,905結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Center models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Moscow on August 14 as the most probable outcome, with the close 30.5 % / 28 % market split reflecting modest spread in predicted insolation and boundary-layer mixing. A cooler maritime air mass advected behind recent showers continues to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and light northeasterly flow introduce small uncertainties of 1–2 °C tied to surface energy balance and residual soil moisture. These factors align with climatological late-summer norms near 19 °C but tilt slightly cooler, keeping 19 °C and 16 °C as secondary contenders pending the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,905結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Center models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Moscow on August 14 as the most probable outcome, with the close 30.5 % / 28 % market split reflecting modest spread in predicted insolation and boundary-layer mixing. A cooler maritime air mass advected behind recent showers continues to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and light northeasterly flow introduce small uncertainties of 1–2 °C tied to surface energy balance and residual soil moisture. These factors align with climatological late-summer norms near 19 °C but tilt slightly cooler, keeping 19 °C and 16 °C as secondary contenders pending the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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