Current forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate indicate a daily maximum near 39°C (102°F) for Jeddah on August 14 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly winds. This positions 40°C as the leading market outcome, as coastal Red Sea humidity and peak summer solar insolation often push observed highs 1–2°C above model guidance. Recent days have seen maxima of 102–103°F amid typical August patterns, where long-term averages reach 37–38°C but extremes frequently hit 40°C+. Trader pricing at 40.5% for exactly 40°C and 29.5% for 41°C+ reflects uncertainty in final observational data and minor model spread on intensification potential, with lower bins discounted given the established heat regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月14日的最高溫度?
40°C 40%
41°C或以上 26%
39°C 25%
38°C 7%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
4%
38°C
7%
39°C
25%
40°C
40%
41°C或以上
26%
40°C 40%
41°C或以上 26%
39°C 25%
38°C 7%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
4%
38°C
7%
39°C
25%
40°C
40%
41°C或以上
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate indicate a daily maximum near 39°C (102°F) for Jeddah on August 14 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly winds. This positions 40°C as the leading market outcome, as coastal Red Sea humidity and peak summer solar insolation often push observed highs 1–2°C above model guidance. Recent days have seen maxima of 102–103°F amid typical August patterns, where long-term averages reach 37–38°C but extremes frequently hit 40°C+. Trader pricing at 40.5% for exactly 40°C and 29.5% for 41°C+ reflects uncertainty in final observational data and minor model spread on intensification potential, with lower bins discounted given the established heat regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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