Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, driven by a cooler airmass advecting from the northeast, increased cloud cover, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Prior days reached the low 90s under clearer, warmer southwesterly flow, but steering patterns and moisture return have shifted probabilities toward the 82–85°F bin. Traders weigh NWS point forecasts, ensemble spreads, and historical August variability around the Front Range, where convection timing and elevation effects can trim 1–3°F from model maxima. Updated runs through the evening will refine the exact peak before market resolution.