Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent overcast skies, light southeasterly flow, and limited solar heating typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent observations show cloudy conditions with daytime maxima around 11–12°C, while extended outlooks project modest warming to the 13–15°C range amid stable atmospheric patterns. The market's emphasis on 14°C (46.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%) reflects this consensus, tempered by forecast uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 15°C provide context, though short-term model runs favor the slightly cooler side.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 45%
15°C 25%
13°C 17%
16°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
17%
14°C
45%
15°C
25%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
15°C 25%
13°C 17%
16°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
17%
14°C
45%
15°C
25%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent overcast skies, light southeasterly flow, and limited solar heating typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent observations show cloudy conditions with daytime maxima around 11–12°C, while extended outlooks project modest warming to the 13–15°C range amid stable atmospheric patterns. The market's emphasis on 14°C (46.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%) reflects this consensus, tempered by forecast uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 15°C provide context, though short-term model runs favor the slightly cooler side.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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