Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC, supported by surface observations, have converged on a daily maximum of 36°C in Chongqing under a typical mid-August subtropical high. This positioning reflects model consensus around 35–37°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and the basin's terrain that limits ventilation while sustaining high humidity and insolation. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to this outcome given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or unforecast wind shift could realistically cap the high below 36°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日重慶氣溫最高？
8月15日重慶氣溫最高？
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$36,827 交易量
$36,827 交易量
2026-08-15
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$36,827 交易量
$36,827 交易量
2026-08-15
32°C or below
$1,242 交易量
No
33°C
$1,459 交易量
No
34°C
$2,721 交易量
No
35°C
$7,031 交易量
No
36°C
$9,826 交易量
Yes
37°C
$5,949 交易量
No
38°C
$4,834 交易量
No
39°C
$1,510 交易量
No
40°C
$1,368 交易量
No
41°C
$664 交易量
No
42°C or higher
$225 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC, supported by surface observations, have converged on a daily maximum of 36°C in Chongqing under a typical mid-August subtropical high. This positioning reflects model consensus around 35–37°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and the basin's terrain that limits ventilation while sustaining high humidity and insolation. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to this outcome given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or unforecast wind shift could realistically cap the high below 36°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$36,827結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC, supported by surface observations, have converged on a daily maximum of 36°C in Chongqing under a typical mid-August subtropical high. This positioning reflects model consensus around 35–37°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and the basin's terrain that limits ventilation while sustaining high humidity and insolation. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to this outcome given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or unforecast wind shift could realistically cap the high below 36°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,827結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC, supported by surface observations, have converged on a daily maximum of 36°C in Chongqing under a typical mid-August subtropical high. This positioning reflects model consensus around 35–37°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and the basin's terrain that limits ventilation while sustaining high humidity and insolation. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to this outcome given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or unforecast wind shift could realistically cap the high below 36°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions