Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs, aligned with Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance, point to a daytime maximum near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 17 amid typical Red Sea humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that can cap peak heating. This sits squarely within August climatology, where long-term averages reach 37–38°C but above-normal seasonal conditions raise the odds of brief spikes toward 40°C if clearer skies and stronger insolation develop. Traders price 39°C and 40°C outcomes nearly equally because small differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月17日的最高溫度?
40°C 37%
39°C 30%
41°C 23%
42°C 7%
35°C或以下
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
7%
38°C
7%
39°C
30%
40°C
37%
41°C
23%
42°C
7%
43°C
6%
44°C
<1%
45°C或以上
<1%
40°C 37%
39°C 30%
41°C 23%
42°C 7%
35°C或以下
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
7%
38°C
7%
39°C
30%
40°C
37%
41°C
23%
42°C
7%
43°C
6%
44°C
<1%
45°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs, aligned with Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance, point to a daytime maximum near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 17 amid typical Red Sea humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that can cap peak heating. This sits squarely within August climatology, where long-term averages reach 37–38°C but above-normal seasonal conditions raise the odds of brief spikes toward 40°C if clearer skies and stronger insolation develop. Traders price 39°C and 40°C outcomes nearly equally because small differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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