Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
19°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
15%
21°C
52%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
19°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
$111 交易量
<1%
17°C
$5 交易量
1%
18°C
$20 交易量
5%
19°C
$0 交易量
6%
20°C
$11 交易量
15%
21°C
$156 交易量
52%
22°C
$103 交易量
23%
23°C
$24 交易量
6%
24°C
$27 交易量
4%
25°C
$15 交易量
5%
26°C或以上
$130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$602結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$602結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETCurrent forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions