Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s August 15 high near 90–93 °F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–93 °F bin. Typical mid-August steering patterns feature light easterly flow and daytime sea-breeze convergence that caps extreme heating while afternoon convection can shave a degree or two from peak readings. Model consensus shows no significant tropical moisture surge or upper-level ridge strengthening that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping the upper tail of the distribution slim. Historical normals list a 91 °F daily maximum, and the past several days have run 1–3 °F above that baseline under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the current implied probabilities. Updated NWS guidance and any late-day model runs will be the next key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月15日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 59%
90-91°F 21%
94-95°F 18%
88-89°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
59%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 59%
90-91°F 21%
94-95°F 18%
88-89°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
79°F or below
$122 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$247 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$132 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$353 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$103 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$769 交易量
5%
90-91°F
$536 交易量
21%
92-93°F
$2,332 交易量
59%
94-95°F
$582 交易量
18%
96-97°F
$91 交易量
1%
98°F或更高
$1,560 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s August 15 high near 90–93 °F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–93 °F bin. Typical mid-August steering patterns feature light easterly flow and daytime sea-breeze convergence that caps extreme heating while afternoon convection can shave a degree or two from peak readings. Model consensus shows no significant tropical moisture surge or upper-level ridge strengthening that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping the upper tail of the distribution slim. Historical normals list a 91 °F daily maximum, and the past several days have run 1–3 °F above that baseline under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the current implied probabilities. Updated NWS guidance and any late-day model runs will be the next key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$6,827結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s August 15 high near 90–93 °F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–93 °F bin. Typical mid-August steering patterns feature light easterly flow and daytime sea-breeze convergence that caps extreme heating while afternoon convection can shave a degree or two from peak readings. Model consensus shows no significant tropical moisture surge or upper-level ridge strengthening that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping the upper tail of the distribution slim. Historical normals list a 91 °F daily maximum, and the past several days have run 1–3 °F above that baseline under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the current implied probabilities. Updated NWS guidance and any late-day model runs will be the next key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,827結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s August 15 high near 90–93 °F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–93 °F bin. Typical mid-August steering patterns feature light easterly flow and daytime sea-breeze convergence that caps extreme heating while afternoon convection can shave a degree or two from peak readings. Model consensus shows no significant tropical moisture surge or upper-level ridge strengthening that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping the upper tail of the distribution slim. Historical normals list a 91 °F daily maximum, and the past several days have run 1–3 °F above that baseline under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the current implied probabilities. Updated NWS guidance and any late-day model runs will be the next key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions