Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月16日的最高溫度？
吉達8月16日的最高溫度？
41°C或以上 55%
40°C 25%
39°C 15%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
11%
39°C
15%
40°C
25%
41°C或以上
63%
41°C或以上 55%
40°C 25%
39°C 15%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C或以下
$15 交易量
<1%
32°C
$15 交易量
<1%
33°C
$15 交易量
<1%
34°C
$15 交易量
<1%
35°C
$15 交易量
<1%
36°C
$5 交易量
<1%
37°C
$5 交易量
1%
38°C
$0 交易量
11%
39°C
$0 交易量
15%
40°C
$0 交易量
25%
41°C或以上
$41 交易量
63%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$126結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$126結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions