Recent South Korean heatwave conditions, with official Korea Meteorological Administration records exceeding 40°C in parts of the country earlier in August, have shaped trader focus on Seoul-Incheon maxima near the seasonal norm of 32–34°C. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies and a 20–24% precipitation chance for August 14, with model consensus centering on 33–34°C highs driven by persistent high pressure, moderate easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Minor differences among 31–33°C outcomes hinge on uncertain afternoon cloud thickness and any localized thunderstorm development, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C; updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent South Korean heatwave conditions, with official Korea Meteorological Administration records exceeding 40°C in parts of the country earlier in August, have shaped trader focus on Seoul-Incheon maxima near the seasonal norm of 32–34°C. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies and a 20–24% precipitation chance for August 14, with model consensus centering on 33–34°C highs driven by persistent high pressure, moderate easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Minor differences among 31–33°C outcomes hinge on uncertain afternoon cloud thickness and any localized thunderstorm development, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C; updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions