Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s August 12 maximum near 28 °C beneath increasing cloud cover and a 50–70 % chance of showers after midday, aligning with the market’s clustered 26–28 °C outcomes. Subtle differences among these probabilities hinge on forecast spread in cloud thickness, rainfall onset timing, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which modulate surface solar heating and urban heat-island amplification. Persistent summer Pacific High pressure keeps seasonal baselines elevated, yet the immediate synoptic pattern introduces enough variability that traders assign roughly comparable weight to the three leading bins. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded at the Tokyo station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日東京氣溫最高？
8月12日東京氣溫最高？
27°C 36%
26°C 27%
28°C 22%
25°C 10%
最新
$11,482 交易量
最新
$11,482 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
27%
27°C
36%
28°C
22%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 27%
28°C 22%
25°C 10%
最新
$11,482 交易量
最新
$11,482 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C或以下
$304 交易量
<1%
24°C
$361 交易量
2%
25°C
$847 交易量
10%
26°C
$1,983 交易量
27%
27°C
$722 交易量
36%
28°C
$1,252 交易量
22%
29°C
$2,030 交易量
4%
30°C
$986 交易量
2%
31°C
$665 交易量
1%
32°C
$795 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$1,537 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s August 12 maximum near 28 °C beneath increasing cloud cover and a 50–70 % chance of showers after midday, aligning with the market’s clustered 26–28 °C outcomes. Subtle differences among these probabilities hinge on forecast spread in cloud thickness, rainfall onset timing, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which modulate surface solar heating and urban heat-island amplification. Persistent summer Pacific High pressure keeps seasonal baselines elevated, yet the immediate synoptic pattern introduces enough variability that traders assign roughly comparable weight to the three leading bins. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$11,482結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s August 12 maximum near 28 °C beneath increasing cloud cover and a 50–70 % chance of showers after midday, aligning with the market’s clustered 26–28 °C outcomes. Subtle differences among these probabilities hinge on forecast spread in cloud thickness, rainfall onset timing, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which modulate surface solar heating and urban heat-island amplification. Persistent summer Pacific High pressure keeps seasonal baselines elevated, yet the immediate synoptic pattern introduces enough variability that traders assign roughly comparable weight to the three leading bins. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,482結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s August 12 maximum near 28 °C beneath increasing cloud cover and a 50–70 % chance of showers after midday, aligning with the market’s clustered 26–28 °C outcomes. Subtle differences among these probabilities hinge on forecast spread in cloud thickness, rainfall onset timing, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which modulate surface solar heating and urban heat-island amplification. Persistent summer Pacific High pressure keeps seasonal baselines elevated, yet the immediate synoptic pattern introduces enough variability that traders assign roughly comparable weight to the three leading bins. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded at the Tokyo station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions