Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月10日紐約市的最高溫度？
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
華氏85度或以下
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103華氏度
1%
華氏104度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
華氏85度或以下
$139 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$60 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$253 交易量
9%
90-91°F
$106 交易量
35%
92-93°F
$180 交易量
41%
94-95°F
$168 交易量
13%
96-97°F
$59 交易量
3%
98-99°F
$92 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$138 交易量
1%
102-103華氏度
$186 交易量
1%
華氏104度或更高
$231 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,611結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,611結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions