Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 9 will likely peak near 28–29°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks exceeding 35°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 28°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but updated numerical weather predictions and regional observations of stabilizing atmospheric patterns reinforce trader positioning toward the lower end of seasonal norms, with minimal probability assigned to extremes above 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日上海最高溫度?
28°C 77%
29°C 19%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
$167,025 交易量
$167,025 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
77%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 77%
29°C 19%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
$167,025 交易量
$167,025 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
77%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 9 will likely peak near 28–29°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks exceeding 35°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 28°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but updated numerical weather predictions and regional observations of stabilizing atmospheric patterns reinforce trader positioning toward the lower end of seasonal norms, with minimal probability assigned to extremes above 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions