Recent forecasts from European meteorological models show Warsaw under the influence of a warm southerly flow with mostly clear skies and light winds on August 10, supporting peak temperatures near 31–32 °C at official stations. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical August maxima in the region average 24–26 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by persistent high pressure and above-normal insolation. Traders weigh the latest IMGW and ECMWF runs against local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2 °C at central measuring sites, leaving resolution dependent on the final hourly observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日華沙的最高溫度?
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
$12,274 交易量
$12,274 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
36%
32°C
38%
33°C
14%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
$12,274 交易量
$12,274 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
36%
32°C
38%
33°C
14%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European meteorological models show Warsaw under the influence of a warm southerly flow with mostly clear skies and light winds on August 10, supporting peak temperatures near 31–32 °C at official stations. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical August maxima in the region average 24–26 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by persistent high pressure and above-normal insolation. Traders weigh the latest IMGW and ECMWF runs against local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2 °C at central measuring sites, leaving resolution dependent on the final hourly observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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