Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月11日丹佛的最高溫度？
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 20%
94-95°F 14%
92-93°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 20%
94-95°F 14%
92-93°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
華氏87度或以下
$12 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$10 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$24 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
11%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
14%
96-97°F
$74 交易量
46%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
20%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
3%
102-103°F
$92 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$205 交易量
<1%
106°F或更高
$205 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$622結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$622結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions