Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thundery development over Lucknow on August 11, capping maximum temperatures near 33–34 °C and explaining why those outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities. Persistent monsoon moisture and associated cloud cover reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating daytime heating relative to clearer climatological norms for mid-August, while variable steering flows and localized convection introduce modest uncertainty in the precise peak. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and observational trends in humidity and wind, with fresh IMD briefings and updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
34°C 38%
33°C 33%
35°C 18%
31°C 10%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
9%
33°C
33%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 33%
35°C 18%
31°C 10%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
9%
33°C
33%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thundery development over Lucknow on August 11, capping maximum temperatures near 33–34 °C and explaining why those outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities. Persistent monsoon moisture and associated cloud cover reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating daytime heating relative to clearer climatological norms for mid-August, while variable steering flows and localized convection introduce modest uncertainty in the precise peak. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and observational trends in humidity and wind, with fresh IMD briefings and updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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