Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 11 because official meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking the region show the daily maximum stabilizing at this level under typical mid-August conditions. Persistent high pressure, moderate northerly flow, and sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C have limited diurnal warming, aligning with long-term climatological averages of 27–29°C for the date. This outcome reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic shift would require an unpredicted influx of warmer air masses or instrumentation discrepancies at primary stations, though current atmospheric stability and multiple confirming reports make such deviations improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月11日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月11日的最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$42,361 交易量
$42,361 交易量
2026-08-11
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$42,361 交易量
$42,361 交易量
2026-08-11
23°C or below
$284 交易量
No
24°C
$1,155 交易量
No
25°C
$4,049 交易量
No
26°C
$6,602 交易量
No
27°C
$11,200 交易量
Yes
28°C
$10,200 交易量
No
29°C
$3,639 交易量
No
30°C
$1,339 交易量
No
31°C
$1,377 交易量
No
32°C
$1,408 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$1,110 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 11 because official meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking the region show the daily maximum stabilizing at this level under typical mid-August conditions. Persistent high pressure, moderate northerly flow, and sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C have limited diurnal warming, aligning with long-term climatological averages of 27–29°C for the date. This outcome reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic shift would require an unpredicted influx of warmer air masses or instrumentation discrepancies at primary stations, though current atmospheric stability and multiple confirming reports make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$42,361結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 11 because official meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking the region show the daily maximum stabilizing at this level under typical mid-August conditions. Persistent high pressure, moderate northerly flow, and sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C have limited diurnal warming, aligning with long-term climatological averages of 27–29°C for the date. This outcome reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic shift would require an unpredicted influx of warmer air masses or instrumentation discrepancies at primary stations, though current atmospheric stability and multiple confirming reports make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,361結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 11 because official meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking the region show the daily maximum stabilizing at this level under typical mid-August conditions. Persistent high pressure, moderate northerly flow, and sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C have limited diurnal warming, aligning with long-term climatological averages of 27–29°C for the date. This outcome reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts alone. A realistic shift would require an unpredicted influx of warmer air masses or instrumentation discrepancies at primary stations, though current atmospheric stability and multiple confirming reports make such deviations improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions