Current forecasts from meteorological models position 11°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on August 13, with 12°C and 10°C as close alternatives, reflecting expected cool winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Official guidance indicates overcast skies, light rain or drizzle potential, and moderate southeasterly winds that limit daytime warming and keep highs near or slightly below seasonal averages around 15°C. These factors align with the market's heavy weighting toward the 10–12°C range, as traders incorporate short-range model consensus on cloud cover and moisture that suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated forecasts in the coming hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger winds emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
11°C 48%
12°C 30%
10°C 12%
13°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
12%
11°C
48%
12°C
30%
13°C
9%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 48%
12°C 30%
10°C 12%
13°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
12%
11°C
48%
12°C
30%
13°C
9%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological models position 11°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on August 13, with 12°C and 10°C as close alternatives, reflecting expected cool winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Official guidance indicates overcast skies, light rain or drizzle potential, and moderate southeasterly winds that limit daytime warming and keep highs near or slightly below seasonal averages around 15°C. These factors align with the market's heavy weighting toward the 10–12°C range, as traders incorporate short-range model consensus on cloud cover and moisture that suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated forecasts in the coming hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger winds emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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