Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 12 likely reaching 34–35°C under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the near-even market-implied odds of 39.5% for 34°C and 42.5% for 35°C. Subtle differences in model timing of maximum heating, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban effects create the tight spread, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting ensemble members that incorporate modest cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influences. Official short-range guidance from agencies such as ECMWF continues to evolve with each cycle, and traders weigh these incremental updates against Milan’s historical August maxima near 30°C. Resolution hinges on the verified daily high from local meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日米蘭的最高溫度?
35°C 43%
34°C 39%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
39%
35°C
43%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 39%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
39%
35°C
43%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 12 likely reaching 34–35°C under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the near-even market-implied odds of 39.5% for 34°C and 42.5% for 35°C. Subtle differences in model timing of maximum heating, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban effects create the tight spread, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting ensemble members that incorporate modest cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influences. Official short-range guidance from agencies such as ECMWF continues to evolve with each cycle, and traders weigh these incremental updates against Milan’s historical August maxima near 30°C. Resolution hinges on the verified daily high from local meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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