Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 34°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, though coastal sea breezes and humidity may moderate the actual peak. This aligns with typical mid-August patterns influenced by the North Pacific High, where historical averages hover near 29–31°C. Trader consensus clustering on 31°C (37.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) reflects model consensus around 30–32°C after accounting for local variability and slight downward revisions in extended outlooks, with lower probabilities for extremes due to stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon activity. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日釜山的最高溫度？
8月12日釜山的最高溫度？
31°C 38%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 6%
最新
$13,065 交易量
最新
$13,065 交易量
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C
38%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 38%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 6%
最新
$13,065 交易量
最新
$13,065 交易量
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
$499 交易量
<1%
26°C
$285 交易量
<1%
27°C
$586 交易量
1%
28°C
$603 交易量
2%
29°C
$1,224 交易量
6%
30°C
$3,820 交易量
19%
31°C
$1,633 交易量
38%
32°C
$2,079 交易量
26%
33°C
$1,392 交易量
6%
34°C
$598 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$347 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 34°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, though coastal sea breezes and humidity may moderate the actual peak. This aligns with typical mid-August patterns influenced by the North Pacific High, where historical averages hover near 29–31°C. Trader consensus clustering on 31°C (37.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) reflects model consensus around 30–32°C after accounting for local variability and slight downward revisions in extended outlooks, with lower probabilities for extremes due to stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon activity. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$13,065結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 34°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, though coastal sea breezes and humidity may moderate the actual peak. This aligns with typical mid-August patterns influenced by the North Pacific High, where historical averages hover near 29–31°C. Trader consensus clustering on 31°C (37.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) reflects model consensus around 30–32°C after accounting for local variability and slight downward revisions in extended outlooks, with lower probabilities for extremes due to stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon activity. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,065結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 34°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, though coastal sea breezes and humidity may moderate the actual peak. This aligns with typical mid-August patterns influenced by the North Pacific High, where historical averages hover near 29–31°C. Trader consensus clustering on 31°C (37.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) reflects model consensus around 30–32°C after accounting for local variability and slight downward revisions in extended outlooks, with lower probabilities for extremes due to stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon activity. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions